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Red52
494121.7
110224.7
179511.6
Blue45
363523.0
30917.0
749912.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67412030506080905245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
28.327.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.5
red by 1.7
23.00.4
23.323.7
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
21.70.8
24.123.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End2.4
red by 9.6
7499
#12
12.00.4
9.610.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Third
1795
#17
11.60.8
11.110.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End3.1
red by 4.6
3091
#28
7.00.4
6.16.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed