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Red49
507410.5
363523.0
788314.7
Blue26
58285.6
52196.3
297428.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52462030406070804926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.0
23.723.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End3.4
blue by 5.9
28.81.4
29.528.1
Auto3.3
Teleop21.9
End3.7
Second
14.70.0
14.714.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.6
red by 8.4
5219
#31
6.31.4
6.75.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
5074
#15
10.50.0
11.311.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 5.0
5828
#35
5.61.4
7.56.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed