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Red49
110224.7
491029.2
533213.9
Blue44
419510.5
590013.5
494121.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79502030406070901004944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.7
31.529.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End9.5
red by 7.5
21.70.4
22.922.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End2.4
Second
24.71.7
26.925.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.5
red by 11.2
5900
#29
13.50.4
13.913.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.6
Third
5332
#26
13.91.7
16.214.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 3.4
4195
#18
10.50.4
11.010.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed