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Red55
363523.0
491029.2
533213.9
Blue52
494121.7
402623.0
731516.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71653040506080901005552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.3
29.729.5
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End9.5
red by 6.3
23.00.2
23.223.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End8.4
Second
23.00.3
23.523.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End3.4
red by 1.3
21.70.2
21.921.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End2.4
Third
5332
#26
13.90.3
14.414.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 2.2
7315
#20
16.10.2
16.316.1
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End3.0