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Red58
297423.4
402621.8
788311.4
Blue24
533213.4
513213.2
100213.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59432030405070805824

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
23.223.2
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 10.0
5332
#22
13.40.4
13.813.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.0
Second
21.80.0
21.621.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End9.8
red by 8.7
5132
#12
13.20.4
13.513.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.9
Third
7883
#27
11.40.0
11.211.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 1.6
1002
#29
13.10.4
13.513.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2