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Red70
670515.9
358116.3
745110.0
Blue21
74279.6
446816.1
671512.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060807021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.6
16.016.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End5.2
red by 0.1
16.10.4
16.716.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Second
15.90.6
15.716.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 3.8
6715
#18
12.10.4
12.612.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
Third
7451
#32
10.00.6
9.810.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End4.0
red by 0.4
7427
#20
9.60.4
10.19.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.4