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Red38
334411.1
381512.3
332917.3
Blue40
491024.3
61397.2
30917.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3436203040503840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3329
#26
17.30.6
11.311.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End5.5
blue by 7.0
24.30.7
17.217.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End7.5
Second
3815
#19
12.30.6
11.412.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.4
red by 5.1
6139
#31
7.20.7
8.49.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.9
Third
3344
#23
11.10.6
9.510.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 4.0
3091
#36
7.10.7
8.39.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned