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Red34
445916.4
40809.9
358116.3
Blue35
533213.4
788311.4
131115.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35401020305060703435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#13
16.40.1
11.511.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 1.4
1311
#11
15.00.3
13.313.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Second
16.30.1
10.710.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End5.2
red by 2.9
5332
#22
13.40.3
13.713.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.0
Third
4080
#33
9.90.1
10.510.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End2.9
blue by 1.5
7883
#27
11.40.3
10.710.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed