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Red45
297423.4
131115.0
70606.0
Blue43
446816.1
688710.3
332917.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4239253035455055604543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.5
21.121.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 6.1
3329
#26
17.30.3
14.414.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End5.5
Second
1311
#11
15.00.5
13.013.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 1.1
16.10.3
14.615.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Third
7060
#25
6.00.3
6.06.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 4.4
6887
#28
10.30.2
8.08.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed