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Red45
402621.8
529313.1
334411.1
Blue31
67129.2
297423.4
30917.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4438203050604531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.4
18.318.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End9.8
blue by 1.6
23.40.6
21.621.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End3.8
Second
5293
#14
13.10.4
11.812.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.2
red by 3.9
6712
#15
9.20.3
7.87.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End2.8
Third
3344
#23
11.10.4
11.612.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 4.0
3091
#36
7.10.6
6.66.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed