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Red50
100213.1
445916.4
634115.0
Blue39
446816.1
56085.3
69448.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483420304050605039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#13
16.40.6
14.515.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 0.3
16.10.8
15.416.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Second
15.00.6
15.015.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End2.6
red by 6.9
6944
#38
8.20.8
10.511.3
Auto4.7
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Third
1002
#29
13.10.6
15.516.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
red by 7.8
5608
#34
5.30.5
5.96.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed