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Red45
61776.6
74279.6
297423.4
Blue56
41959.6
474916.7
100213.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394520305060704556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
22.522.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 6.8
16.70.4
15.916.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Second
7427
#20
9.60.2
8.38.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 3.5
1002
#29
13.10.3
15.916.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Third
6177
#37
6.60.2
6.26.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 3.0
4195
#30
9.60.4
10.811.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed