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Red46
513213.2
358116.3
745110.0
Blue30
69448.2
474916.7
52192.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373201020405060704630

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.8
12.913.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End5.2
blue by 0.4
16.70.0
16.216.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Second
5132
#12
13.21.1
11.312.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.9
red by 5.0
6944
#38
8.20.0
9.49.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Third
7451
#32
10.01.1
10.511.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End4.0
red by 7.5
5219
#24
2.60.0
4.74.7
Auto0.7
Teleop0.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed