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Red54
474916.7
297423.4
602311.3
Blue21
745110.0
30917.1
533213.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51362030406070805421

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.5
22.322.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 10.0
5332
#22
13.41.2
14.713.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.0
Second
16.70.5
16.216.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End3.4
red by 6.6
7451
#32
10.01.2
11.610.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Third
6023
#17
11.30.6
9.410.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End2.4
red by 4.2
3091
#36
7.11.2
8.16.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed