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Red34
70606.0
671512.1
474916.7
Blue22
30917.1
334411.1
40809.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060803422

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.2
16.716.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End3.4
red by 5.5
3344
#23
11.10.6
11.010.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Second
6715
#18
12.10.2
12.312.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
red by 2.1
4080
#33
9.90.7
11.410.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End2.9
Third
7060
#25
6.00.1
7.27.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 1.2
3091
#36
7.10.6
6.96.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed