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Red38
688710.3
381512.3
634115.0
Blue16
788311.4
52192.6
745110.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4231010205060703816

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.2
16.516.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End2.6
red by 3.6
7883
#27
11.41.1
14.213.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Second
3815
#19
12.30.2
13.613.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.4
red by 2.2
7451
#32
10.01.1
10.49.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Third
6887
#28
10.30.1
10.09.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 7.8
5219
#24
2.61.1
4.33.3
Auto0.7
Teleop0.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed