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Red58
177126.8
510925.4
692511.5
Blue73
682920.5
174620.2
241513.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695830405080901005873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.2
27.427.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End8.4
red by 6.4
6829
#10
20.50.3
20.721.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Second
25.40.2
25.925.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 5.2
20.20.3
20.420.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Third
6925
#25
11.50.2
12.111.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 2.3
2415
#21
13.80.3
14.114.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4