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Red0
177126.8
510925.4
692511.5
Blue61
682920.5
174620.2
241513.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67580204080100061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#2DQ
26.80.0
26.926.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End8.4
red by 6.4
6829
#10
20.50.3
20.820.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Second
5109
#1DQ
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 5.2
20.20.3
20.520.2
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Third
6925
#25DQ
11.50.0
11.611.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 2.3
2415
#21
13.80.3
14.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4