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Red17
751416.8
744921.1
565118.7
Blue59
445917.6
450915.4
529315.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59482030407080901759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.9
20.719.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
red by 3.6
4459
#15
17.60.3
16.616.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Second
5651
#19
18.70.9
18.317.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
red by 3.1
5293
#17
15.60.3
14.614.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Third
16.80.9
16.415.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End5.3
red by 1.5
4509
#12
15.40.3
14.414.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.6