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Red46
411218.2
381514.3
126118.7
Blue40
510925.4
751416.8
565118.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434725303540505560654640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.3
13.513.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End4.6
blue by 6.6
25.40.3
20.920.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
4112
#11
18.20.4
15.115.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 0.5
5651
#19
18.70.3
14.113.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Third
3815
#27
14.30.3
12.312.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 2.6
16.80.3
9.29.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed