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Red45
513213.2
565118.7
692511.5
Blue55
174620.2
634113.9
168321.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4050102030607080904555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5651
#19
18.70.2
14.113.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 2.3
21.00.5
19.019.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Second
5132
#24
13.20.2
12.912.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 6.9
20.20.5
14.414.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Third
6925
#25
11.50.2
11.311.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 2.4
6341
#22
13.90.5
14.214.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed