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Red41
513213.2
565118.7
548215.3
Blue46
767612.3
450915.4
510925.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4249102030607080904146

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5651
#19
18.70.1
13.914.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 6.7
25.40.0
23.723.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
5482
#13
15.30.1
13.013.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
blue by 0.1
4509
#12
15.40.0
12.412.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.6
Third
5132
#24
13.20.1
12.712.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.9
red by 0.9
7676
#23
12.30.0
10.510.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsEarned