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Red33
450915.4
529315.6
632510.2
Blue43
168321.0
682920.5
131118.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385920801003343

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#17
15.60.2
13.413.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 5.4
21.00.9
19.518.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Second
4509
#12
15.40.2
12.312.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.6
blue by 5.1
6829
#10
20.50.9
19.018.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Third
6325
#29
10.20.2
10.610.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 7.8
18.00.9
17.416.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed