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Red53
241513.8
411218.2
565118.7
Blue43
692511.5
632510.2
450915.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43341020305060705343

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5651
#19
18.70.8
14.215.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
red by 3.3
4509
#12
15.40.7
12.112.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.6
Second
4112
#11
18.20.8
16.617.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 6.7
6925
#25
11.50.7
9.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Third
2415
#21
13.80.8
9.710.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 3.6
6325
#29
10.20.7
10.411.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed