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Red39
634113.9
69055.2
682920.5
Blue38
548215.3
707610.3
445917.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060803938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#10
20.50.1
18.118.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
red by 2.9
4459
#15
17.60.4
17.817.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Second
6341
#22
13.90.1
15.215.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 1.4
5482
#13
15.30.4
14.514.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
Third
6905
#28
5.20.1
4.14.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 5.0
7076
#16
10.30.4
11.110.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed