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Red51
682920.5
408014.3
744921.1
Blue20
445917.6
692511.5
69448.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50401020306070805120

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.2
18.518.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
red by 3.6
4459
#15
17.61.2
16.415.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Second
6829
#10
20.50.2
19.219.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
red by 8.9
6925
#25
11.51.2
13.112.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Third
4080
#18
14.30.3
9.910.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 5.8
6944
#30
8.61.3
8.26.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed