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Red29
408014.3
707610.3
632510.2
Blue60
446815.5
692511.5
510925.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375410203050607080902960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4080
#18
14.30.4
13.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End3.8
blue by 11.0
25.40.6
24.525.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
7076
#16
10.30.4
11.911.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 5.3
15.50.6
15.716.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Third
6325
#29
10.20.4
10.29.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 1.3
6925
#25
11.50.6
11.211.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned