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Red59
168321.0
241513.8
510925.4
Blue33
474917.3
446815.5
634113.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605220304070805933

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.1
25.125.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 8.1
4749
#14
17.31.3
17.816.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
Second
21.00.1
20.920.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.7
red by 5.5
15.51.3
16.215.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Third
2415
#21
13.80.1
11.111.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 0.1
6341
#22
13.91.3
15.414.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed