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Red59
751416.8
744921.1
692511.5
Blue43
548215.3
632510.2
682920.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494520304060705943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.6
20.220.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
red by 0.7
6829
#10
20.50.0
17.717.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Second
16.80.6
14.715.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End5.3
red by 1.5
5482
#13
15.30.0
15.615.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
Third
6925
#25
11.50.6
11.812.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
red by 1.3
6325
#29
10.20.0
9.89.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned7%HAB Docking oddsMissed