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Red60
510925.4
418916.9
408014.3
Blue50
565118.7
548215.3
634113.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5850304070806050

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.3
25.025.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 6.7
5651
#19
18.70.1
18.218.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Second
4189
#26
16.90.3
16.416.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End3.4
red by 1.6
5482
#13
15.30.1
15.615.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
Third
4080
#18
14.30.3
13.814.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 0.4
6341
#22
13.90.1
14.114.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed