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Red44
126118.7
445917.6
529315.6
Blue48
446815.5
411218.2
632510.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54442030405060704448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.5
19.018.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End4.6
red by 0.5
4112
#11
18.20.4
17.317.7
Auto2.8
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Second
4459
#15
17.60.5
17.116.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
red by 2.0
15.50.4
15.015.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Third
5293
#17
15.60.5
15.114.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
red by 5.4
6325
#29
10.20.4
9.810.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed