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Red34
69448.6
692511.5
634113.9
Blue43
446815.5
126118.7
751416.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344101020305060703443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6341
#22
13.90.1
13.413.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 4.8
18.70.3
13.814.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End4.6
Second
6925
#25
11.50.1
12.012.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 5.3
16.80.3
9.09.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End5.3
Third
6944
#30
8.60.1
6.87.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 7.0
15.50.3
15.615.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsEarned