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Red70
751416.8
744921.1
565118.7
Blue75
682920.5
174620.2
241513.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595630405070807075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.1
20.921.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
red by 0.7
6829
#10
20.50.5
19.820.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Second
5651
#19
18.70.1
18.518.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 1.5
20.20.5
19.520.0
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Third
16.80.1
16.616.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End5.3
red by 3.0
2415
#21
13.80.5
13.213.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4