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Red56
174722.6
691919.3
670513.5
Blue59
744918.5
479516.4
164815.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453203040607080905659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#16
22.60.1
20.520.6
Auto3.0
Teleop16.0
End3.6
red by 4.1
7449
#13
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Second
19.30.1
17.217.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End6.3
red by 2.9
4795
#10
16.40.1
16.316.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.5
Third
6705
#26
13.50.1
13.413.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.1
blue by 2.3
1648
#17
15.80.1
15.715.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.6