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Red63
16618.0
265519.6
450910.5
Blue64
510920.9
647115.8
399814.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4953304060706364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.4
19.219.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 1.3
5109
#12
20.90.2
20.720.8
Auto3.2
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Second
166
#6
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End2.8
red by 2.2
15.80.2
15.515.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End7.5
Third
4509
#29
10.50.4
10.110.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
blue by 4.2
3998
#11
14.70.2
14.414.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End3.2