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Red59
744918.5
634018.4
174722.6
Blue48
418913.1
510920.9
110225.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943203050605948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#16
22.62.4
13.115.5
Auto3.0
Teleop16.0
End3.6
blue by 2.5
25.10.8
18.419.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.8
End6.2
Second
7449
#13
18.52.4
10.713.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 2.4
5109
#12
20.90.8
10.311.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Third
18.42.4
13.616.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.4
End3.7
red by 5.3
4189
#23
13.10.8
12.112.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed