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Red27
69107.6
69051.7
168317.2
Blue38
68877.4
83217.6
164815.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2836102040502738

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.0
13.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
blue by 0.4
832
#3
17.60.4
16.316.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End6.2
Second
6910
#22
7.61.0
9.08.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End2.8
blue by 8.2
1648
#17
15.80.4
11.211.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.6
Third
6905
#38
1.71.0
3.92.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End-1.1
blue by 5.7
6887
#34DQ
7.40.4
6.56.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed