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Red28
83217.6
510920.9
69051.7
Blue40
418821.2
75149.2
69107.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4133203050602840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#12
20.91.0
18.717.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.1
End5.6
blue by 0.3
4188
#18
21.20.9
17.118.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Second
832
#3
17.61.0
16.715.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End6.2
red by 8.4
7514
#24
9.20.8
6.47.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Third
6905
#38
1.71.0
2.91.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End-1.1
blue by 5.9
6910
#22
7.60.8
8.08.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed