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Red44
565114.1
164815.8
67126.6
Blue20
56085.7
71049.8
57347.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33220103040504420

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#17
15.81.1
14.415.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.6
red by 6.0
7104
#31
9.80.1
9.79.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Second
5651
#20
14.11.0
11.712.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 6.5
5734
#27
7.60.1
5.55.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Third
6712
#33
6.61.0
5.46.4
Auto3.5
Teleop0.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
5608
#37
5.70.1
5.75.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed