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Red18
174722.6
399814.7
35819.8
Blue25
670513.5
69107.6
349418.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393720253035451825

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#16
22.62.5
16.714.3
Auto3.0
Teleop16.0
End3.6
red by 3.7
3494
#15
18.91.1
13.312.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End4.8
Second
3998
#11DQ
14.72.5
11.08.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End3.2
red by 1.2
6705
#26
13.51.1
12.611.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.1
Third
3581
#28
9.82.5
9.67.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.4
red by 2.2
6910
#22
7.61.1
8.77.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed