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Red58
174722.6
691919.3
411215.1
Blue48
510920.9
647115.8
399814.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58553040507080905848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#16
22.60.1
21.921.8
Auto3.0
Teleop16.0
End3.6
red by 1.7
5109
#12
20.90.1
21.020.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Second
19.30.1
18.618.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End6.3
red by 3.5
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End7.5
Third
4112
#19
15.10.1
14.214.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End2.6
red by 0.4
3998
#11
14.70.1
14.814.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End3.2