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Red36
634110.2
69109.5
297425.9
Blue39
450910.8
168321.4
529311.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453354045506065703639

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.9
27.426.4
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End3.0
red by 4.5
1683
#17
21.40.8
24.123.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
Second
6341
#29
10.20.9
11.510.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End2.7
blue by 1.5
5293
#20
11.70.8
14.513.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
6910
#25
9.50.9
11.310.3
Auto5.3
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 1.3
4509
#14
10.80.8
12.111.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
27%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed