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Red58
174622.6
297425.9
110221.4
Blue27
100212.2
411213.5
334411.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8142020601001201405827

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.3
26.425.2
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End3.0
red by 12.4
4112
#13
13.50.9
15.314.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Second
22.61.3
25.924.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.1
End3.7
red by 10.5
1002
#18
12.20.9
13.412.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
1102
#15
21.41.3
24.823.5
Auto2.3
Teleop15.4
End3.8
red by 10.3
3344
#19
11.10.9
11.410.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
79%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed