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Red42
529311.7
69256.3
126120.7
Blue63
141419.9
418814.8
363525.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426502060801004263

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.2
19.619.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
blue by 4.4
25.10.3
24.624.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.8
End6.2
Second
5293
#20
11.70.2
13.513.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 8.2
19.90.3
22.121.8
Auto2.3
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Third
6925
#30
6.30.2
6.46.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 8.5
14.80.3
15.014.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed76%HAB Docking oddsMissed