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Red54
168321.4
126120.7
634110.2
Blue58
494118.0
491027.9
590015.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58692040801005458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#17
21.40.0
24.124.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
blue by 6.5
27.90.5
30.229.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.5
End8.8
Second
20.70.0
19.819.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 2.7
4941
#11
18.00.5
18.317.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
Third
6341
#29
10.20.0
10.610.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End2.7
blue by 5.0
15.10.5
16.916.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed90%HAB Docking oddsEarned