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Red50
745114.0
141419.9
411213.5
Blue44
402619.2
450910.8
494118.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57512040801005044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
21.821.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 0.7
4026
#10
19.20.3
19.419.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End8.5
Second
7451
#16
14.00.3
17.517.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End4.2
blue by 4.0
4941
#11
18.00.3
17.817.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
Third
4112
#13
13.50.3
14.414.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 2.7
4509
#14
10.80.3
11.010.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned