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Red34
110221.4
563212.0
745114.0
Blue52
634110.2
682916.7
418814.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584220801003452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#15
21.41.4
23.321.9
Auto2.3
Teleop15.4
End3.8
red by 4.8
16.70.8
16.317.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End3.5
Second
7451
#16
14.01.4
17.315.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End4.2
blue by 0.8
14.80.8
13.013.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Third
5632
#23
12.01.4
14.112.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 1.9
6341
#29
10.20.8
10.911.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsEarned