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Red63
363525.1
100212.2
682916.7
Blue42
533214.5
168321.4
590015.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62632040801006342

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.6
25.324.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.8
End6.2
red by 3.7
1683
#17
21.41.2
25.324.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
Second
16.70.6
19.218.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End3.5
red by 1.6
15.11.2
18.417.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End5.4
Third
1002
#18
12.20.6
14.013.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 2.4
5332
#26
14.51.2
16.215.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed