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Red68
131119.4
491027.9
168321.4
Blue59
141419.9
174622.6
83217.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726440801006859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.1
27.827.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.5
End8.8
red by 5.3
22.60.3
22.922.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.1
End3.7
Second
1683
#17
21.40.1
21.221.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
red by 1.5
19.90.3
20.119.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Third
1311
#27
19.40.1
19.519.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.7
red by 2.3
832
#21
17.10.3
17.317.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End6.0