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Red68
198630.6
70116.4
682510.9
Blue64
110232.9
198214.5
638618.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60712040801006864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.5
30.931.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End9.9
blue by 2.3
1102
#10
32.90.2
33.533.3
Auto3.6
Teleop23.2
End6.1
Second
701
#42
16.40.5
15.916.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
blue by 2.2
6386
#26
18.60.2
18.818.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End8.4
Third
6825
#52
10.90.5
10.410.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End3.8
blue by 3.6
1982
#47
14.50.2
14.714.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned